Sunday, June 15, 2014

The Price of Willful Ignorance

Madame:

Thank you for your comments.  I will keep working on it.

A tardy Happy Father’s Day to all fathers.  I am posting this behind schedule for that very reason!

Many subjects could be discussed at the moment.  Before we return to lighter summer fare, let me light amplify SOME on our Iraq “policy.”

Iraq is an example of why history is so important.  To really understand the Iraq of today, and especially, to have a meaningful clue as to how to address issues there, one needs to go back at least to the 1920s, and really, probably to the 600s or even earlier.  That mosaic is far too intricate to reproduce here, but suffice to say that decisions made are still reverberating with impact even today.

Because America doesn’t care to understand history like that, its “policies” don’t have lasting strength, they don’t have logic and true buy-in, and they end up blowing back (to borrow from the title of a must-read book) on us.  Further ironically, they don’t even work in the short-term.  We don’t have meaningful or informed discussion prior to “formulating” those policies, and we grasp at flailing ropes (which could be snakes for all we know) when another  perpetual “crisis” appears that seems to “demand” our national treasure and the lives of not just our people. but many people.

Look at the Iraq mess (which the unscrupulous are using for their own political and economic and other selfish ends).  We intervened on at best dubious circumstances (there were no weapons of mass destruction—as any regional specialist worth his salt knew that Saddam would try to make Iran (the historical enemy of Iraq) think that he had those weapons even if he didn’t; there were no terrorists—certainly none connected to 9/11—not because Iraq was a nice place; Saddam  was a murderous Stalinesque ruler—but  because he didn’t like them because they weren’t controllable).  We had no real plan, no end game, no think through.  We improvised when we were “surprised” that things didn’t go well in the aftermath, and then had to support yet another corrupt/incompetent/repressive/petty regime (how many times, AmeriRome, are you going to do that?) that we had little faith in (and, it turns out, neither did its people), and that our very own counter-insurgency/nation-building doctrine said was doomed to fail because of that fact.

So today we have an Iraq that was formerly one of the most secular places in the whole region now becoming militanized and religious extremized.  We have a mixed bag of people opposing a brutal and pathetic regime, but with the most effective of that mixed bag of opponents happening to be ruthlessly terroristic and medieval in outlook.  A group, however, that appears to have little interest outside Iraq and its immediate surroundings, and virtually none in wanting to strike at American targets on American soil.

And that could all change from the first bomb or missile of American intervention.

So:  1) we have created or vastly magnified the power of terrorists where previously there was virtually none, and 2) we have painted ourselves into a corner, where almost all our options look various shades of bad, almost no one trusts us, and there is virtually no confidence we will do the right thing.


That willful ignorance thing of ours is the knife in our own hand applied wildly and uncomprehendingly to our own back.

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